3 Tech Giants Trading at Bargain Prices That Could Dominate for a Decade

The recent market turbulence has created rare buying opportunities across the technology sector. With the Nasdaq down nearly 10% year-to-date and many high-quality tech companies trading well below their recent highs, long-term investors have a chance to build positions in industry leaders at compelling valuations.

While market corrections are never comfortable, they provide the perfect entry points for investors with the discipline to look beyond short-term volatility. The tech companies best positioned to rebound aren’t just survivors – they’re the innovators with dominant market positions, expanding addressable markets, and the financial strength to invest through economic cycles.

Here are three standout tech giants that deserve a place on your buy-the-dip watchlist for the next decade of growth.

Alphabet (GOOGL)

The market is significantly undervaluing Alphabet despite its impressive collection of industry-leading businesses and emerging technology bets. Currently trading around $165, the stock sits approximately 20% below its recent highs – creating an attractive entry point for one of tech’s most diversified giants.

What makes Alphabet particularly compelling is its unique combination of established cash-generating businesses and cutting-edge innovation. Google Search maintains its dominant 90% global market share, providing the steady cash flow that funds the company’s ambitious ventures. This core business alone would justify an investment, but Alphabet offers much more.

YouTube has evolved from a smart acquisition into the world’s most-watched video streaming platform and the fourth-largest digital advertising platform globally. More impressively, Alphabet has leveraged YouTube’s massive video database to train its Veo 2 text-to-video AI application, positioning it at the forefront of this emerging technology.

The recent acceleration in Google Cloud’s growth trajectory is perhaps the most overlooked catalyst for the stock. This segment grew 30% last quarter, outpacing the competition as enterprises increasingly adopt Alphabet’s Gemini foundational model for developing their own AI applications. The company’s development of custom AI chips with Broadcom further strengthens its competitive positioning by improving inference times while reducing power consumption and costs.

For forward-thinking investors, Alphabet’s longer-term bets in autonomous driving (Waymo) and quantum computing provide additional growth optionality. At just 18.5 times forward earnings, you’re paying a remarkably reasonable price for both established category leaders and next-generation technology moonshots.

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM)

Few companies are as strategically positioned at the center of the AI revolution as Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, yet the stock has pulled back significantly from its recent highs. This correction provides an opportunity to invest in the world’s dominant semiconductor manufacturer at an attractive valuation.

TSMC’s technological leadership in chip fabrication has proven remarkably durable. While competitors Intel and Samsung have struggled with manufacturing challenges, TSMC has consistently pushed the boundaries of chip miniaturization – now producing at the 3-nanometer node. This leadership isn’t merely technical; it translates directly to business results, with nearly three-quarters of revenue now coming from advanced 7nm or smaller chips.

The company’s critical position in the semiconductor value chain has created powerful network effects. As chip designers increasingly rely on TSMC’s manufacturing expertise, the company can continually invest in next-generation technology, widening its competitive moat. This virtuous cycle has enabled consistent price increases even as manufacturing costs rise.

TSMC’s global expansion strategy adds another layer to its investment thesis. New manufacturing facilities in Japan, the United States, and Europe will diversify production geographically while positioning the company to meet surging demand for advanced chips.

At 19 times forward earnings and a PEG ratio of just 0.7, the market is significantly undervaluing TSMC’s growth prospects. For investors seeking direct exposure to both AI infrastructure and the broader semiconductor industry, Taiwan Semiconductor offers a combination of market leadership, pricing power, and reasonable valuation that’s difficult to match.

Salesforce (CRM)

Salesforce has a history of transforming the software industry, having pioneered the software-as-a-service model that fundamentally changed how businesses adopt technology. Today, the company is positioning itself at the forefront of the next software revolution: agentic artificial intelligence.

While generative AI applications like ChatGPT have captured public attention, agentic AI represents the next evolutionary step. Unlike generative AI, which primarily responds to prompts, agentic AI can autonomously perform complex tasks with minimal human supervision. Salesforce is aggressively investing in this emerging field through its Agentforce platform.

The early traction has been impressive, with 5,000 deals signed since its launch last fall, including over 3,000 paid agreements. At $2 per conversation, the potential revenue opportunity is substantial as these AI agents become more deeply integrated into enterprise workflows. The company’s newly introduced AgentExchange marketplace further expands use cases by adding hundreds of new actions and templates through partnerships with 200 companies.

Salesforce’s core CRM business provides the stable foundation that funds these innovations while offering direct integration points for AI capabilities. This combination of established market leadership and forward-looking technology investment creates a compelling long-term growth story.

Despite its strong positioning and growth prospects, Salesforce shares are trading at just 24.5 times forward earnings with a PEG ratio of 0.33 – remarkably reasonable for a software leader with predictable recurring revenue. The recent market pullback has created an attractive entry point for investors willing to look beyond short-term volatility.

The Bottom Line

Market corrections often provide the best opportunities to build positions in companies that will drive the next decade of technological innovation. Alphabet, Taiwan Semiconductor, and Salesforce share several critical characteristics: dominant market positions, substantial competitive moats, forward-thinking management teams, and attractive valuations relative to their growth potential.

While more volatility could certainly lie ahead, investors with long-term horizons should consider these temporary pullbacks as opportunities to accumulate shares in businesses that are fundamentally reshaping their industries. The companies that emerge strongest from market corrections are typically those with the financial strength to continue investing in innovation regardless of short-term economic conditions – precisely what these three tech giants offer at their current discounted prices.

Value Stocks Are Quietly Setting Up for a Break Out While Tech Stumbles – 3 Names to Watch Right Now

Tech stocks have dominated headlines for months, but beneath the surface, a stealth rotation into value stocks is gaining momentum. As high-flying tech names like Microsoft form ominous “death cross” patterns and AI darlings face increasing scrutiny, savvy investors are shifting capital into overlooked companies with solid fundamentals and attractive valuations.

This isn’t just another “buy the dip” opportunity – it’s potentially the start of a major market rotation that could define investment returns for the rest of 2025.

I’ve identified three value stocks showing remarkable technical strength that deserve your immediate attention. These companies aren’t just cheap – they’re displaying the kind of chart patterns and fundamental improvements that typically precede significant upward moves.

Kraft Heinz (KHC): The Consumer Staple Ready to Break Out

Kraft Heinz has languished in the shadows for years following its failed 2019 turnaround. But while investors were looking elsewhere, CEO Miguel Patricio has quietly transformed the company’s balance sheet, reducing debt by over $8 billion since taking the helm.

The stock currently trades at just 11.8x forward earnings – a 48% discount to the S&P 500’s 22.7x multiple – despite growing organic sales for six consecutive quarters. More importantly, Kraft’s 50-day moving average recently crossed above its 200-day line, forming the bullish “golden cross” pattern that technical analysts love.

What makes this opportunity especially compelling is the 4.5% dividend yield – more than triple the S&P 500’s paltry 1.2% payout. With inflation still running above the Fed’s target, this income component provides meaningful protection while you wait for the valuation gap to close.

The company’s most recent earnings revealed something most investors missed: private label competition is actually decreasing for the first time since 2020, with Kraft brands gaining market share in 7 of its 10 largest categories.

Valero Energy (VLO): The Cash Flow Machine Trading at 6x Earnings

Energy stocks have been left behind in the AI mania, but Valero’s chart is sending a clear message that smart money is accumulating shares. The refining giant has formed a textbook cup-and-handle pattern that typically precedes major breakouts, and volume has been steadily increasing on up days – a key sign of institutional buying.

At just 6.2x forward earnings, Valero is priced as if refiners will never make money again. This ignores the company’s record $5.9 billion in free cash flow generated last year, much of which is being returned to shareholders through aggressive buybacks that have reduced the share count by nearly 8% in the past 12 months.

The recent announcement of a 10% dividend increase brings the yield to an attractive 3.7%, and management has signaled they plan to continue prioritizing shareholder returns. With crack spreads (the difference between refined product prices and crude oil costs) remaining well above historical averages, Valero’s earnings power is being significantly underestimated by Wall Street.

Citigroup (C): Banking on a Turnaround

While most bank stocks have rallied sharply from their 2023 lows, Citigroup remains a laggard – trading at just 8.4x earnings and 0.6x book value. But CEO Jane Fraser’s transformation plan is finally gaining traction, with the bank exceeding efficiency targets for three consecutive quarters.

Citigroup’s chart shows a multi-month consolidation pattern that’s coiling tighter, with decreasing volatility and rising accumulation indicators. These technical patterns often resolve to the upside, especially when combined with improving fundamentals and extreme undervaluation.

The most compelling catalyst is Citigroup’s capital return program that’s set to accelerate dramatically. The bank received approval to increase its buyback authorization by $5 billion (roughly 7% of its market cap) and recently hiked its dividend by 8%. With excess capital well above regulatory requirements, there’s room for these returns to increase further.

Citigroup’s investment banking division is also showing signs of life, with fees up 22% year-over-year last quarter as M&A activity finally rebounds from multi-year lows. This high-margin business could drive significant earnings upside that isn’t currently reflected in analyst estimates.

Why This Matters Right Now

The inflection point for value stocks couldn’t come at a better time. With the S&P 500’s valuation stretched to levels not seen since the dot-com bubble (excluding the pandemic anomaly), the market desperately needs new leadership to sustain its uptrend.

Value stocks historically outperform during periods of economic uncertainty and when the Fed begins its rate-cutting cycle – both conditions we’re likely to see in the coming months. More importantly, these stocks provide a margin of safety that’s increasingly valuable as geopolitical tensions rise and economic indicators flash warning signs.

Rather than chasing the same crowded tech trades, positioning in these overlooked value stocks now gives you both defense and offense – protection against market volatility plus substantial upside potential as the inevitable rotation plays out.

For investors worried about preserving capital while maintaining market exposure, these three stocks represent the ideal combination of income, value, and improving technicals that could drive market-beating returns through the rest of 2025.

The Insider Edge: Three High-Potential Stocks for This Week

Market noise is relentless. Financial headlines scream about the same handful of mega-cap darlings while media pundits breathlessly debate the Fed’s next move. Meanwhile, real opportunities—the kind that can meaningfully impact your portfolio—often fly completely under the radar.

That’s exactly why we publish this watchlist each week.

While most investors are distracted by mainstream narratives, we’re digging through earnings transcripts, analyzing technical setups, and monitoring institutional money flows to identify companies at potential inflection points. Our focus isn’t on what’s already priced in, but rather on what the market hasn’t fully appreciated yet.

Each week, we spotlight just three stocks that merit your attention. These aren’t random picks or household names you already own. They’re carefully selected opportunities where timing, valuation, and catalysts align to create potentially favorable entry points.

Our track record speaks for itself. These selections consistently outperform because they’re backed by rigorous analysis that most retail investors simply don’t have time to conduct. Each pick comes with clear reasoning, specific triggers to watch for, and a compelling risk-reward profile that tilts probability in your favor.

Here’s what caught our eye this week:

PayPal (PYPL)

PayPal’s staggering 77% decline from its 2021 peak has finally created a compelling value opportunity in the fintech space. The stock has formed a promising bottoming pattern over the past three months, with recent price action showing accumulation on high volume days. Technical indicators suggest a potential reversal, with the stock establishing solid support around the $60 level while the MACD shows bullish divergence – a classic setup for a potential trend change.

What makes this particular entry point attractive is the stark disconnect between market perception and fundamental reality. Under new CEO Alex Chriss, who took the helm in September 2023, PayPal has methodically executed a strategic pivot from a pure payments processor to a comprehensive commerce platform. Recent product innovations like Fastlane (one-click checkout), CashPass (cash-back rewards), and Smart Receipts (AI-powered merchant recommendations) directly address user friction points while creating additional monetization opportunities. Last month’s unveiling of PayPal Open – a platform allowing merchants of all sizes to not only process payments but access valuable growth services – further strengthens the company’s competitive positioning.

The valuation metrics tell a compelling story for patient investors willing to look beyond short-term market sentiment. Trading at just 14x forward earnings compared to the S&P 500’s 21x multiple, PayPal offers a rare combination of value and quality. The company maintains impressive gross margins of 40.52% while generating substantial free cash flow – financial strength that provides ample runway for the strategic transformation underway. With sentiment near multi-year lows and institutional ownership reduced, even modest improvement in growth metrics could trigger significant price appreciation as the market reassesses the durability of PayPal’s business model in the evolving digital payments landscape.

Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B)

Despite recently hitting all-time highs, Berkshire Hathaway remains a compelling opportunity for investors concerned about economic uncertainty. The stock has shown remarkable relative strength during recent market volatility, outperforming the S&P 500 by over 8% year-to-date. With $334 billion in cash and short-term investments on its balance sheet, Berkshire stands uniquely positioned to capitalize on market dislocations should economic conditions deteriorate.

Strip away the $334 billion cash hoard and $290 billion stock portfolio, and you’re essentially paying just 15 times earnings for Berkshire’s collection of recession-resistant operating businesses. These include essential services like GEICO insurance and Berkshire Hathaway Energy – companies whose products and services remain in demand regardless of economic conditions. This intrinsic value calculation reveals a company trading at a significant discount to the broader market.

The company’s trillion-dollar market cap might appear daunting at first glance, but the conglomerate’s diversification across sectors, substantial financial flexibility, and proven management approach create an asymmetric risk-reward profile that becomes increasingly attractive as recession concerns grow. For investors seeking a resilient position with both defensive qualities and offensive capabilities, Berkshire’s current setup offers a compelling entry point.

Brookfield Infrastructure (BIPC)

Brookfield Infrastructure’s recent 15% six-month pullback has created an attractive entry point for this dividend powerhouse. The stock is forming a potential double bottom pattern with improving volume characteristics, suggesting a potential reversal after testing key support levels. With shares currently yielding 4.7% and the company’s track record of raising dividends at a 9% annual clip since 2009, BIPC offers an increasingly rare combination of income and growth potential.

What separates Brookfield from typical dividend stocks is its unique recycling strategy – selling mature assets at premium valuations and redeploying capital into higher-growth opportunities. This approach has fueled impressive 15% compound annual FFO growth over the past decade. The company’s portfolio of regulated utilities, natural gas pipelines, toll roads, data centers, and fiber networks generates remarkably stable cash flows, with 85% coming from regulated or contracted sources that remain resilient even during economic downturns.

Looking ahead, management targets 10%+ annual FFO growth and 5-9% dividend increases, suggesting potential total returns exceeding 9% annually – compelling in today’s uncertain market. For investors seeking a defensive position with both inflation protection and growth characteristics, Brookfield’s current technical setup and valuation metrics present an opportune moment to establish or add to positions before income-focused institutional buyers recognize the mispricing.

The Exit Strategy: Stocks Showing Critical Warning Signs

March 29, 2025

Every successful investor knows a painful truth: knowing when to sell is often more critical than knowing what to buy.

While financial media overwhelmingly focuses on buying opportunities, our research consistently identifies companies facing significant headwinds that merit serious consideration for selling. These aren’t just stocks underperforming the market; they’re businesses confronting structural challenges, deteriorating fundamentals, or carrying valuations disconnected from financial reality.

What you won’t find here: reactionary calls based on short-term price movements or headline volatility. Each company on this list has been thoroughly analyzed across multiple metrics that historically precede substantial declines.

Smart investors understand that portfolio management requires both addition and subtraction. Sometimes the best investment decision is to redeploy capital away from troubling positions before problems fully materialize in the share price.

This week’s watchlist highlights stocks showing critical weaknesses that demand immediate attention:

Hims & Hers Health (HIMS)

Hims & Hers Health exemplifies how regulatory changes can derail even the fastest-growing companies. After skyrocketing over 670% between January 2024 and February 2025, HIMS has plunged more than 50% following the FDA’s February 21st announcement ending the regulatory loophole that allowed compounded semaglutide sales. Management confirmed on their earnings call that semaglutide “will not be offered on the platform after the first quarter,” removing a key growth driver that fueled the stock’s meteoric rise.

While management projects 2025 revenue of $2.3-2.4 billion (59% year-over-year growth), this guidance excludes semaglutide sales and likely overestimates potential success of alternative weight-loss offerings. The company plans to introduce generic liraglutide later this year, but this medication lacks semaglutide’s effectiveness and market appeal. Meanwhile, Novo Nordisk is preparing oral semaglutide formulations that would further erode Hims & Hers’ competitive position in the weight-loss segment.

Most concerning is HIMS’ valuation, which remains at nearly 63x forward earnings despite the recent correction. This premium multiple assumes flawless execution in an increasingly competitive telehealth market. The stock has established a pattern of lower highs since peaking at $72.98, with volume trends indicating institutional selling. With 30-40% additional downside potential before reaching reasonable valuation levels, investors should exit positions before the market fully processes the impact of these regulatory changes.

Tesla (TSLA)

Tesla faces fundamental challenges that a brief 9.3% relief rally this week cannot obscure. The stock remains down over 32% year-to-date, with HSBC analyst Michael Tyndall recently cutting his price target to $130 (implying 52.2% additional downside). Contrary to the narrative that Tesla’s problems stem from brand controversies, Tyndall notes “the seeds for the current sales weakness pre-date the recent brand issues,” pointing specifically to aging products with limited driving assistance capabilities in China and struggles with European fleet buyers, who represent 60% of that market.

Tesla’s refusal to follow industry norms has become increasingly problematic. By “eschewing many of the industry norms (holding list prices firm, making regular facelifts and model renewals),” Tesla has created vulnerability as competition intensifies. The company’s product lineup has stagnated while established automakers and startups continue launching compelling alternatives. This strategic approach worked during periods of limited EV options but appears increasingly unsustainable in today’s competitive landscape.

The bull case has pivoted toward Robotaxi potential, but Tyndall cites crowd-sourced data showing Tesla’s autonomous driving progress is “slow or stagnating.” With “delays a constant theme at Tesla,” this speculative technology appears too distant to justify current valuations. The analyst community remains divided (12 sells, 16 holds, 26 buys among 54 analysts), creating significant uncertainty around Tesla’s prospects. For investors, this combination of fundamental challenges, delayed growth initiatives, and technical weakness presents a compelling case for exiting positions before further valuation compression occurs.

Wolfspeed (WOLF)

Wolfspeed’s 49.6% single-day collapse after naming a new CEO reveals a company approaching financial crisis. While the appointment of chip industry veteran Robert Feurle appears competent, investors have recognized the near-impossible task facing any leadership team. The silicon carbide semiconductor manufacturer now trades at just $2.71, down a staggering 91% from its 52-week high of $30.86, with fundamentals suggesting further downside.

The company’s capital structure has become potentially terminal. With a market capitalization of just $837 million against $6.6 billion in debt (an 8:1 debt-to-market-cap ratio), Wolfspeed faces overwhelming financial pressure. The company lost more than its entire market cap last year while burning through $1.3 billion annually in negative free cash flow. With only $1.4 billion in cash reserves, our analysis indicates approximately 12-15 months of runway remains before potential liquidity crisis.

Technical indicators confirm this dire outlook, with the recent sell-off volume reaching 141 million shares (7x normal volume), indicating widespread institutional abandonment. Gross margins have deteriorated to negative 6.39%, creating a nearly impossible operational challenge for the incoming CEO. Despite Feurle’s optimistic statements about “competitive advantages” and accelerating “our path to positive free cash flow,” the capital structure may have already passed the point of no return. Investors should exit positions immediately before restructuring scenarios potentially wipe out remaining equity value.

Bottom Line

These three companies face distinctly different challenges that share one common thread – the market has only partially priced in their potential impact. Whether it’s regulatory disruption, competitive pressures, or unsustainable financial structures, each stock exhibits warning signs that historically precede significant additional downside. Smart investors recognize that protecting capital often requires making difficult selling decisions before problems fully materialize in share prices.

Three Resilient Stocks Trading at Deep Discounts

The market’s recent pullback has created compelling opportunities for investors willing to look past the short-term noise. The tech-heavy Nasdaq’s 10% correction and the S&P 500’s 6.5% decline from its high have left quality companies trading at significant discounts to their intrinsic value.

While uncertainty around Trump’s tariff policies continues to unsettle markets, this volatility has created a silver lining: fundamentally sound businesses with tariff-resistant models are now available at attractive valuations. These opportunities don’t tend to last long in today’s market environment.

Let’s examine three standout candidates that deserve a spot on your buy-the-dip watchlist.

On Holding (ONON)

On Holding, the Swiss athletic footwear company, has managed to maintain strong momentum across all its key markets despite broader economic concerns. What makes ONON particularly appealing in the current environment is its minimal sourcing exposure to regions impacted by potential tariff changes.

The company’s recent fourth-quarter results exceeded expectations, demonstrating its ability to execute even during challenging market conditions. The stock has surged 42% over the past 12 months, but there’s likely more room to run.

What separates On from competitors is its relentless focus on innovation. The company has successfully positioned itself as a premium performance brand, allowing it to maintain pricing power while expanding its product lineup. This strategy has translated into industry-leading sales growth that looks sustainable for the foreseeable future.

The market correction has created an entry point for investors who may have previously felt they missed the boat. With the stock currently trading around $48, there’s significant upside potential based on the company’s growth trajectory.

Oshkosh Corporation (OSK)

Military vehicle manufacturer Oshkosh presents a compelling opportunity for investors seeking a tariff-resistant business model with strong domestic production capabilities. Despite its solid fundamentals, shares have slumped 18% over the last 12 months, creating an attractive entry point.

What makes OSK particularly resilient to current trade tensions is its business composition: approximately 84% of the company’s revenue comes from the United States, with much of its production happening domestically. This insulates Oshkosh from the direct impact of tariff policies that have rattled other industrials.

Additionally, the company’s global manufacturing footprint gives it operational flexibility, allowing management to shift production as needed to mitigate potential cost increases. Even in scenarios where some tariff impact is unavoidable, Oshkosh has demonstrated its pricing power and ability to pass costs through to customers when necessary.

At current levels around $97, the stock trades significantly below its intrinsic value, offering an appealing risk-reward profile for investors willing to look beyond short-term market anxieties.

Citigroup (C)

While banking stocks have generally benefited from the November election results, Citigroup has lagged the sector, declining 1.8% year-to-date. This underperformance has created an opportunity in a bank that’s uniquely positioned to benefit from the current macroeconomic environment.

Citigroup’s global reach as an intermediary across regions gives it a competitive advantage during periods of trade policy shifts. The bank successfully navigated the first round of tariffs during Trump’s previous administration, leveraging its international presence to capture value from cross-border transactions even as trade policies evolved.

What makes Citigroup particularly compelling right now is its valuation. The stock is currently trading at approximately three-quarters of its tangible book value, providing both a margin of safety and significant upside potential as the company executes its strategic transformation.

This discounted valuation has another benefit: the company’s share repurchase program can acquire more shares with the same capital allocation, creating additional value for long-term shareholders. As uncertainty subsides and the market recognizes Citigroup’s improving fundamentals, patient investors stand to be rewarded.

Bottom Line

Market corrections like the one we’re experiencing typically create opportunities for investors with longer time horizons. These three companies share a common thread: strong fundamentals, business models that can withstand trade policy shifts, and attractive valuations relative to their growth prospects.

While additional volatility may be ahead as tariff policies take shape, positioning your portfolio with quality companies trading at discounts to their intrinsic value remains a time-tested approach to long-term wealth creation. The key is identifying businesses with defensible competitive positions and the operational flexibility to adapt to changing economic conditions—precisely what On Holding, Oshkosh, and Citigroup offer at current levels.

Bitcoin’s Second Quarter Rally: Technical Signals Point to Post-March Recovery

The past few months have been a rollercoaster for Bitcoin investors. After reaching dizzying heights in January, the cryptocurrency is still down more than 18% from its all-time high. The pullback has left many wondering: is this a buying opportunity or the beginning of a more sustained downtrend?

The answer, according to multiple Wall Street analysts, might depend on your timeframe. Those with patience may find their resolve rewarded as soon as next month.

Why Bitcoin Could Stage a Comeback in Q2

Bitcoin has maintained two persistent correlations that savvy investors should be watching closely:

  1. A positive correlation with global money supply growth (M2)
  2. A negative correlation with the U.S. dollar index (DXY)

These relationships aren’t merely theoretical—they’ve been reliable indicators throughout Bitcoin’s history. And right now, both are signaling potential strength after March.

“Bitcoin has consistently tracked the inverted DXY on a ~10-week lag,” explains Wells Fargo equity analyst Christopher Harvey. This relationship suggests the current drawdown is largely a reaction to the strong dollar environment we saw in Q4 of 2024.

What’s particularly encouraging is that the DXY peaked on January 13th—about eight weeks ago. If the historical pattern holds, we’re approaching the point where Bitcoin typically begins responding to dollar weakness.

Compass Point analyst Ed Engel takes this analysis a step further, noting that “Global M2 has historically led BTC prices by three months.” After Global M2 bottomed in early 2025, it has since rebounded alongside recent USD weakness.

Engel’s conclusion? “If BTC maintains its correlation with Global M2, this implies further weakness in March before a significant rally in 2Q25.”

The $90,000 Threshold: A Critical Level to Watch

While hovering around $88,100 (up 2.4% at last check), Bitcoin’s behavior around the $90,000 level will be telling. This price point has served as key support throughout 2025, and a decisive move above the $91,000-$92,000 range would provide technical confirmation that the worst may be behind us.

However, not all analysts share this optimism. Wolfe Research cautions that recent price action shows “notable breakdowns across the board through key support levels,” adding that “This is not the action of a group readying to rally.”

Politics vs. Market Reality: A Conflicting Narrative

What makes the current Bitcoin landscape particularly interesting is the disconnection between political tailwinds and market performance. The cryptocurrency industry is operating under an increasingly favorable political environment, with the Trump administration promising to create conditions where crypto businesses can thrive.

Despite these developments, Bitcoin has struggled to maintain momentum. The market seems more concerned with broader economic issues—particularly the specter of trade wars—than regulatory improvements.

This divergence creates a potential opportunity. If macroeconomic concerns ease while the regulatory environment continues to improve, Bitcoin could benefit from a powerful combination of catalysts in the second quarter.

What This Means For Your Portfolio

If you’re already invested in Bitcoin, the historical correlations suggest patience may be warranted. The next few weeks could bring continued weakness, but the second quarter presents a potentially more favorable environment.

For those on the sidelines, this period of weakness might offer an entry point—provided you’re comfortable with near-term volatility. The key is to watch those $90,000+ levels as confirmation of any sustainable rally.

The most prudent approach? Consider dollar-cost averaging through the current turbulence rather than trying to precisely time the bottom. The correlations with M2 and the dollar index suggest a potential recovery, but timing precision is notoriously difficult in cryptocurrency markets.

What’s clear is that despite the recent pullback, Bitcoin’s fundamental narrative remains intact. The combination of institutional adoption, favorable political shifts, and historical correlation patterns suggests that while March might test investors’ resolve, April and beyond could reward those who maintain theirs.

Market Downturn Reveals Gold’s Enduring Value While Bitcoin Follows Stocks Lower

Gold just hit $3,000 per ounce – a historic milestone that couldn’t come at a more telling time. As recession fears intensify and markets wobble, Bitcoin sits 25% below its all-time high while gold sets new records. This stark divergence is forcing investors to reconsider a question that’s divided the financial world: when economic uncertainty looms, which asset actually protects your wealth better?

Gold vs. Bitcoin: The Hedge Debate Heats Up

The timing speaks volumes. Gold’s record price comes amid falling stock markets, crypto selloffs, and widespread unease about U.S. economic policy. Traditional investors are nodding knowingly – this is exactly what gold has done for 4,000 years when uncertainty strikes.

Meanwhile, Bitcoin advocates aren’t backing down. Despite current price action, they maintain that Bitcoin’s “digital gold” credentials remain intact. Their argument? That Bitcoin’s technological design makes it an evolution of gold’s economic role, not just an alternative. Many prominent investors still insist it provides better long-term protection against certain economic threats.

But which asset actually delivers when markets tumble? The answer isn’t straightforward.

Why Bitcoin Earned Its “Digital Gold” Status

Understanding Bitcoin’s appeal as a hedge requires examining its fundamental architecture:

  • Capped supply: Unlike fiat currencies that can be printed indefinitely, Bitcoin’s lifetime supply is mathematically limited to 21 million coins, with nearly 20 million already in circulation. This engineered scarcity creates inherent value preservation.
  • Decentralized immunity: No central bank, government entity, or financial institution can alter Bitcoin’s underlying protocol, providing insulation from monetary policy manipulation.
  • Halving mechanism: Every four years, Bitcoin’s supply issuance rate is automatically cut in half, creating a disinflationary model that theoretically protects against currency debasement.
  • Expropriation resistance: The cryptographic nature of blockchain technology makes Bitcoin exceptionally difficult to seize or freeze, prompting billionaire Ricardo Salinas to call it the “hardest asset in the world” – even harder than gold.
  • Digital mobility: Unlike physical gold, which requires secure storage and poses logistical challenges for transfer, Bitcoin can move across borders nearly instantaneously without intermediaries.

These characteristics have made Bitcoin an attractive hedge against specific risks, particularly currency devaluation and financial censorship.

ETF Performance: The Revealing Comparison

For most retail investors, exposure to both Bitcoin and gold comes through exchange-traded funds rather than direct ownership. This provides a useful lens for comparison.

The most popular spot Bitcoin ETF, iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT -0.45%), reveals a telling pattern when measured against its counterpart, the iShares Gold Trust (IAU -0.97%) over the past 15 months.

During bullish or sideways market conditions, Bitcoin’s ETF has substantially outperformed gold ETFs. However, during market downturns – like the one we’re currently experiencing – Bitcoin has significantly underperformed gold. This pattern helps explain the current flight to gold ETFs as recession fears intensify.

The Correlation Problem

This performance divergence highlights a crucial evolution in Bitcoin’s market behavior. For much of the past decade, Bitcoin’s appeal included its low correlation with traditional asset classes, providing valuable portfolio diversification.

However, this correlation structure appears to be shifting in 2025. Bitcoin increasingly moves in sync with broader equity markets – rising when stocks rise and falling when they fall. This growing correlation with equities severely undermines Bitcoin’s effectiveness during market downturns.

The same troubling pattern emerged in 2022, when Bitcoin lost 65% of its value amid a broader market selloff – precisely when hedges should have provided protection.

Which Offers Superior Protection?

Theory and practice often diverge in financial markets. While Bitcoin’s design theoretically positions it as an excellent hedge, its market behavior tells a different story during actual economic stress.

If your primary concern is protection during recessionary market conditions, gold’s recent performance makes a compelling case for the traditional safe haven. Its 4,000-year track record of maintaining value through economic upheavals remains unmatched.

However, Bitcoin could regain its hedge status if one critical condition is met: it must decouple from equity market movements. A true safe haven should zig when vulnerable assets zag. Until Bitcoin demonstrates this counterbalancing movement during market corrections, gold appears to be the superior recession hedge for 2025.

That said, investors seeking comprehensive portfolio protection might consider both assets, as they each offer distinct advantages against different types of risk. Gold provides time-tested stability during market turmoil, while Bitcoin offers protection against currency devaluation and financial censorship.

The verdict remains fluid. Bitcoin’s correlations continue to evolve as the asset matures, and its ultimate role in portfolio construction during economic uncertainty is still being written. For now, gold bugs appear to have the upper hand in the recession hedge debate, but Bitcoin’s technological advantages ensure this conversation is far from settled.

Smart Money Moves: 5 Stocks Hedge Funds Love

When hedge funds and high-profile investors pour billions into specific stocks, it’s worth paying attention. These investors often have access to deeper resources, better research, and insider-level insights that retail investors simply don’t. By following where the smart money flows, you can identify potential opportunities before the broader market catches on.

This week, we’re highlighting five stocks that have garnered significant interest from hedge funds and notable investors. These picks reflect a range of themes—from strategic turnarounds and economic recovery to the growing demand for sustainable energy. With major players like Warren Buffett, Bill Ackman, and David Tepper making moves, each of these stocks offers a compelling story backed by institutional conviction. Let’s dive into the details of why these stocks are attracting such strong attention.

JD.com (NASDAQ: JD) – Riding China’s Stimulus Wave

Hedge funds are turning bullish on Chinese stocks, and JD.com has emerged as a top pick. After the Chinese government announced a sweeping five-year, 10 trillion yuan stimulus plan in November, JD.com gained traction as a recovery play. The government’s efforts to address local debt and stimulate economic growth have renewed confidence among investors. Hedge fund heavyweights like David Tepper’s Appaloosa Management, Philippe Laffont’s Coatue Management, and Michael Burry have significantly increased their stakes, reflecting optimism in the company’s ability to benefit from China’s recovery.

JD.com also stands out for its robust e-commerce platform and strong market position in China’s rapidly digitizing economy. While global economic uncertainty persists, the stock offers exposure to one of the most ambitious economic support packages in recent history. With hedge funds leading the way, JD.com could be poised for substantial gains in 2025.

Nike (NYSE: NKE) – A Turnaround in Motion

Nike is undergoing a significant transformation, and hedge funds are taking notice. Bill Ackman’s Pershing Square has doubled down on its position, raising its stake to $1.4 billion last quarter. After a difficult 2024, in which the stock dropped over 30%, Nike is focusing on direct-to-consumer sales and streamlining inventory management. New CEO Elliott Hill’s strategy includes liquidating older inventory through less profitable channels and returning the company’s online business to a full-price model.

While the past year was tough, Nike’s fundamentals remain strong. Its iconic brand, global reach, and strategic pivot position it for a rebound. Hedge funds’ increasing exposure suggests confidence in the company’s ability to execute its turnaround plan. Investors seeking a blue-chip recovery story may find Nike’s current valuation an attractive entry point.

LPL Financial (NASDAQ: LPLA) – A Financial Powerhouse

LPL Financial has emerged as a favorite among hedge funds in the financial sector. At the end of Q3 2024, hedge funds owned an impressive 16% of the company’s equity cap, according to Goldman Sachs. Stephen Mandel’s Lone Pine Capital and Dan Loeb’s Third Point have made substantial bets on LPL, with stakes exceeding $500 million and $112 million, respectively. The stock surged 41% in Q4, driven by expectations of regulatory rollbacks under the new administration.

LPL Financial’s appeal lies in its ability to capitalize on industry deregulation while maintaining steady growth. As one of the most concentrated hedge fund positions in the financial sector, the stock reflects strong institutional confidence. Investors looking for exposure to financials with momentum should consider LPL Financial as a compelling option.

Domino’s (NYSE: DPZ) – A Value Slice Worth Tasting

Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway has added Domino’s Pizza to its portfolio, signaling confidence in the company’s long-term value. The $500 million stake, while small relative to Berkshire’s overall portfolio, highlights the appeal of Domino’s consistent cash flow and brand strength. Hedge fund investor Philippe Laffont’s Coatue Management also holds a sizable stake, further underscoring the stock’s attractiveness.

Though Domino’s saw muted growth in 2024, with shares up just 3%, its resilience amid rising competition and cost-conscious consumers sets it apart. The company’s focus on affordability and convenience makes it a steady performer in challenging markets. For investors seeking a defensive stock with potential for incremental gains, Domino’s could deliver.

Constellation Energy (NASDAQ: CEG) – Leading the Energy Transition

Constellation Energy is riding the wave of rising energy demand and hedge fund interest. With significant buying from Lone Pine Capital and Coatue Management, the stock saw a remarkable 94% gain in 2024. Its focus on clean and nuclear energy positions it well to benefit from the growing need for reliable, sustainable power sources.

As the new administration looks to relax environmental regulations and support energy-intensive industries like crypto, Constellation is uniquely poised to thrive. Its leadership in innovative energy solutions and strong hedge fund backing make it a standout pick for 2025. Investors looking for exposure to the energy sector’s transformation should keep a close eye on Constellation.

The Insider Edge: Three High-Potential Stocks for This Week

Market noise is relentless. Financial headlines scream about the same handful of mega-cap darlings while CNBC pundits breathlessly debate the Fed’s next move. Meanwhile, real opportunities—the kind that can meaningfully impact your portfolio—often fly completely under the radar.

That’s exactly why we publish this watchlist each week.

While most investors are distracted by mainstream narratives, we’re digging through earnings transcripts, analyzing technical setups, and monitoring institutional money flows to identify companies at potential inflection points. Our focus isn’t on what’s already priced in, but rather on what the market hasn’t fully appreciated yet.

Each week, we spotlight just three stocks that merit your attention. These aren’t random picks or household names you already own. They’re carefully selected opportunities where timing, valuation, and catalysts align to create potentially favorable entry points.

Our track record speaks for itself. These selections consistently outperform because they’re backed by rigorous analysis that most retail investors simply don’t have time to conduct. Each pick comes with clear reasoning, specific triggers to watch for, and a compelling risk-reward profile that tilts probability in your favor.

Here’s what caught our eye this week:

Salesforce (CRM)

After a sharp pullback from its January highs, Salesforce has quietly formed a solid base at key technical support levels. The stock’s recent price action shows significant accumulation on down days – a telltale sign that institutional investors are using this correction to build positions. With the 50-day moving average now flattening out and price compression tightening, CRM appears poised for a potential breakout.

What makes this setup particularly compelling is Salesforce’s demonstrated resilience even in challenging economic environments. The company’s “growing revenue contribution from tangible AI product cycles” serves as a key differentiator from competitors. This fundamental strength matters significantly because software companies historically show resistance in the quarters leading up to economic slowdowns – it typically takes 2-3 quarters into a recession before the sector experiences meaningful revenue deceleration. Salesforce’s scale and product diversification insulate it further from potential tariff-driven demand headwinds.

Salesforce’s recent $1 billion investment commitment in Singapore underscores the company’s aggressive expansion of Agentforce, its suite of AI automation tools. CEO Marc Benioff’s strategic positioning of Salesforce as a “software hyperscaler” aims to capitalize on historically low data center deployment costs. With the stock trading at a forward P/E multiple that’s 15% below its five-year average despite accelerating AI adoption, this presents an attractive entry point before Wall Street fully recognizes the improving risk-reward profile.

Delta Air Lines (DAL)

Delta has been caught in a perfect storm of headwinds, plunging over 28% in the past month and hitting extreme oversold territory with an RSI of 21.6 – among the lowest readings on the entire S&P 500. The massive selloff accelerated after the carrier cut its first-quarter profit and revenue forecasts, citing softer domestic travel demand. However, this severe overreaction has created a compelling entry point for contrarian investors willing to look beyond short-term turbulence.

The technical setup here is textbook mean-reversion opportunity. Historically, when Delta has reached RSI levels below 25, the stock has rebounded by an average of 16% within the following six weeks. What makes this particular setup more interesting is that the current price has found support at the same level that served as resistance throughout much of 2023, suggesting a potential floor has formed. The high-volume capitulation selling we’ve witnessed is typically characteristic of short-term bottoms in fundamentally sound companies.

Looking beyond recent volatility, Delta’s business fundamentals remain largely intact despite near-term demand softness. The carrier maintains industry-leading operational reliability, superior customer satisfaction metrics, and some of the strongest labor relations in the industry – competitive advantages that become even more valuable during sector-wide stress. With the stock now trading at just 5.4x forward earnings (a 40% discount to its pre-pandemic multiple) and potential tariff concerns already priced in, the risk-reward setup for long-term investors appears increasingly favorable as panic selling subsides.

Blackstone (BX)

Blackstone’s recent 30% pullback from its highs presents a rare opportunity to accumulate shares of the world’s premier alternative asset manager at a substantial discount. The stock has formed a textbook double bottom pattern on strong volume, with bullish divergence on momentum indicators suggesting smart money is quietly accumulating positions. With the stock currently trading around $140, it sits nearly 31% below its 52-week high of $200.96, creating an asymmetric risk-reward profile at current levels.

What makes Blackstone particularly compelling right now is its growing dividend yield, which has reached 2.8% – more than double the S&P 500’s current 1.3% yield. Unlike conventional dividend payers, Blackstone’s unique distribution policy returns the majority of its distributable earnings to shareholders through a combination of dividends and share repurchases. While this creates some quarter-to-quarter variability, the long-term trajectory has been decidedly upward, with significant room for continued growth as the alternative investment space expands.

The tailwinds for Blackstone’s business model remain exceptionally strong despite market volatility. The global alternatives market is projected to reach $30 trillion by 2030, up from $17 trillion at the end of 2023 – a 76% increase that should disproportionately benefit Blackstone given its scale, brand recognition, and performance track record. With the stock trading at a compelling valuation relative to its growth prospects and a gross margin of 99.55% that demonstrates the capital-light nature of its business model, the current price represents an attractive entry point before institutional capital recognizes the disconnect between price and value.

The Exit Strategy: Stocks Showing Critical Warning Signs This Week

Every successful investor knows a painful truth: knowing when to sell is often more critical than knowing what to buy.

While financial media overwhelmingly focuses on buying opportunities, our research consistently identifies companies facing significant headwinds that merit serious consideration for selling. These aren’t just stocks underperforming the market; they’re businesses confronting structural challenges, deteriorating fundamentals, or carrying valuations disconnected from financial reality.

What you won’t find here: reactionary calls based on short-term price movements or headline volatility. Each company on this list has been thoroughly analyzed across multiple metrics that historically precede substantial declines.

Smart investors understand that portfolio management requires both addition and subtraction. Sometimes the best investment decision is to redeploy capital away from troubling positions before problems fully materialize in the share price.

This week’s watchlist highlights stocks showing critical weaknesses that demand immediate attention:

Tesla (TSLA)

Tesla’s 50% decline since December may seem like a buying opportunity to some investors, but our analysis suggests this correction is only the beginning of a potentially much steeper drawdown. Despite the significant pullback, the electric vehicle maker’s fundamental challenges appear to be accelerating rather than abating.

The most alarming development has been Tesla’s dramatic sales deterioration in Europe, where registrations plunged by more than 40% year-to-date. This collapse in a key growth market raises serious questions about the company’s ability to maintain its premium valuation in the face of intensifying competition and potential market saturation. These European sales figures are particularly concerning as they suggest Tesla may be facing another year of stagnant growth – a scenario that stands in stark contrast to the narrative of technological dominance and market expansion that has long supported the stock’s premium multiple.

From a technical perspective, Tesla’s chart reveals deeply concerning patterns. The stock is currently experiencing its eighth consecutive weekly decline, marking its longest losing streak since its 2010 Nasdaq debut. This persistent selling pressure indicates institutional investors are systematically reducing exposure, likely in response to deteriorating fundamentals and forward guidance.

While bulls have long dismissed valuation concerns by pointing to Tesla’s growth potential, the company’s current trajectory suggests even the reduced share price remains disconnected from business realities. At current levels around $250, Tesla trades at approximately 61 times forward earnings – a multiple that appears increasingly difficult to justify given the growing evidence of slowing demand and margin pressures. Our analysis indicates a more reasonable valuation would place the stock closer to the $130-$150 range, representing potential downside of 40-45% from current levels.

This negative outlook is increasingly reflected in analyst sentiment, with major firms including Wells Fargo, UBS, and Redburn Atlantic all maintaining sell ratings on the stock. The consensus appears to be shifting away from the growth-at-any-price mentality that previously dominated Tesla’s investor base, with fundamentals now taking center stage in valuation considerations.

For investors still holding Tesla positions, the combination of deteriorating sales metrics, persistently negative technical signals, and increasing analyst skepticism suggests the prudent move is to consider exiting before the next potential leg down materializes.

Sherwin-Williams (SHW)

After showing remarkable resilience while other housing-related stocks faltered, Sherwin-Williams appears to have finally succumbed to the broader weakness in the housing sector. Our technical analysis reveals a classic bullish-to-bearish reversal pattern that suggests significant downside ahead.

The paint manufacturer’s chart shows a textbook topping formation that’s particularly concerning given the stock’s previous strength. For nearly 18 months, SHW has bounced precisely off its trendline support multiple times, creating a false sense of security among investors. However, our analysis suggests this critical support is now at high risk of failure.

What’s particularly notable is the divergence between SHW’s price action and underlying fundamentals. While the stock has held up relatively well compared to peers like Home Depot (HD) and Lowe’s (LOW), recent channel checks indicate softening demand in both the professional contractor and DIY segments. With housing turnover remaining sluggish and renovation activity slowing, the company’s premium valuation of 27x forward earnings looks increasingly difficult to justify.

Technical indicator analysis points to a potential decline toward the $295 level, representing approximately 15% downside from current prices. The recent increase in trading volume during down days further confirms our negative outlook. While noted market technician Carter Worth has expressed similar concerns, our independent analysis of both technical patterns and fundamental metrics suggests investors should exit positions before the broader market fully recognizes these warning signs.

Tilray Brands (TLRY)

Cannabis producer Tilray Brands exemplifies the dangers of investing in a struggling industry regardless of how cheap the shares might appear. Currently trading near its 52-week low at just $0.61, the stock has cratered over 79% from its 52-week high of $2.97. Despite this significant decline, our analysis suggests the company’s fundamental challenges remain unresolved.

What’s particularly concerning is Tilray’s continued reliance on acquisitions for growth rather than organic expansion. Revenue figures show troubling patterns – the company has failed to establish consistent quarter-over-quarter improvements despite management’s optimistic projections. Meanwhile, profitability remains elusive with no clear pathway to sustainable positive earnings in sight.

The regulatory environment continues to present substantial headwinds. While CEO Irwin Simon has boldly predicted U.S. federal legalization within four years, our analysis of the political landscape suggests this timeline remains highly speculative. Even if legalization does eventually materialize, Tilray faces a daunting challenge: the Canadian market experience—where recreational cannabis has been legal for over six years—provides a sobering case study of how regulatory constraints can strangle profit potential.

Tilray’s diversification into craft brewing through multiple acquisitions was intended to provide stability and a platform for cannabis-infused beverages post-legalization. However, our evaluation of their quarterly performance shows this strategy has yet to deliver meaningful financial improvements. With a market cap now hovering around $572 million and continuing negative cash flows, the company’s once-ambitious expansion plans appear increasingly tenuous.

Technical indicators reinforce our bearish outlook. TLRY has established a concerning pattern of lower highs and lower lows throughout 2024, with trading volume patterns suggesting institutional investors continue to reduce exposure. The stock’s inability to find support even at these depressed levels signals that the market remains unconvinced of any imminent turnaround.

For investors holding TLRY, the rational move appears to be exiting positions before the company potentially faces even more significant financial constraints. The combination of regulatory uncertainty, sustained unprofitability, and reliance on acquisitions for growth creates a troubling outlook that justifies the stock’s current position near 52-week lows.

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